As one who ponders such things, and tries (lamely) to keep abreast of news items that on the surface seem unrelated … I have to put another stake in the ground.
Artificial Intelligence will shortly manifest itself in a range of highly disruptive ways. In another post I speculated about how the intersection of Gaming and AI will be a mirror into how personal AI’s (or something like them) will enable a new vehicle for education.
In this thread I’d like to supply some thoughts on how AI’s owned by corporations have already begun to disrupt the “Learned Workforce.”
About 10 months ago the Brookings Institution published an article detailing linkages between emerging automation technologies (including AI) and how workforces and the human resources aspect of supporting workers will be affected.
In the service sector, computer algorithms can execute stock trades in a fraction of a second, much faster than any human. As these technologies become cheaper, more capable, and more widespread, they will find even more applications in an economy. The Brookings Institution. October 2015.
They cite the following statistic:
“Today only 16 percent of students graduating high school are proficient in and interested in a career in STEM (science, technology, engineering, and mathematics).”
If the paradigm repeats itself like it has in the past: Cars replace Horses, Robots replace Humans on the Assembly Line. Emerging AI tech will also affect the economy. I’m characterizing it this way:
“AI’s will replace Minds.”
Which minds (and jobs) are in the cross hairs? Well, traders on wall street have already been supplemented by AI’s. Some others, as I’ve suggested, will be in education.
A big area I expect to see AI’s affect will be medicine. Diagnostics and testing, where replicating results and other areas where very steady areas of knowledge are applied will be the first areas to be exploited. Imagine if a network of AI’s covering clinics in the US were constantly cross-comparing blood samples looking for the likes of Zika. Government would find this very helpful. Government would fund this.
Areas of interest within disciplines and professional activities where creativity are less a job requirement than executing consistently will be the first to be improved by an AI workforce.
Think of workers like office clerks. These have been traditionally secure jobs, especially within government. They will be particularly at risk in coming years. Especially within government.